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 Transcript
July 28, 2008 - 9:00 AM Eastern
Second Quarter 2008 Earnings Results Conference Call
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Transcript of

 

Transcript of

American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. (ASI)

Second Quarter 2008 Earnings Results Conference Call

July 28, 2008

 

 


Participants

Executives

Stephen R. Crim – President and Chief Executive Officer

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. - Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

William C. Tepe - Chief Financial Officer

 

Analysts

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Kenneth Billingsley - Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

John Gwynn - Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Stephen Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC

 

Presentation

 

Operator

Greetings ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the American Safety Insurance second quarter 2008 earnings results conference call.  At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.  A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation.  If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press “*0” on your telephone keypad.  As a reminder this conference is being recorded.  It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Steve Crim, President and CEO of American Safety Insurance.  Thank you Mr. Crim, you may begin.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay.  Thank you very much.  Good morning and welcome to our conference call to discuss our results for the second quarter of 2008, which were issued prior to the market opening today.  In addition to those participating on this telephone conference, this conference call is being broadcast over the Internet.

 

With me in the room are Joe Scollo, our Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer and Bill Tepe our Chief Financial Officer.

 

Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that this conference call will contain forward-looking statements.  Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially.  For a description of some of the reasons that results may differ, please see our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2008 as filed with the SEC.

 

Now turning to the results for the second quarter, net earnings declined 7% over the same period in 2007 due to the impact of the soft market on underwriting profitability.  The decline in underwriting profits was driven primarily by three factors.  First, net premiums earned in construction line, which has historically been one of the most profitable products for the company continued to decrease due to a slowing housing market and our decision to let business go in an increasingly competitive market.

Second, the profitability in assumed reinsurance was negatively impacted by our decision to increase the ultimate loss ratio on a D&O treaty related to the potential for subprime exposure.  This treaty was terminated effective January 1st of this year.

 

And third, we experienced $1.5 million of prior year reserve development in our environmental business line related in large part to New York Claims.  Earnings for the quarter were positively impacted by a $2.8 million decrease in corporate and other expense resulting from a reduction in accrued warranty liabilities related to our former real estate project in Florida, which was substantially completed in 2005.

 

Gross premiums written from newer products added in connection with our product diversification strategy totaled $29.5 million, which is 41% of the total gross premiums written for the quarter compared to $12.2 million or 21% of the total for the second quarter of 2007.  The largest contributor was assumed reinsurance, which generated $20 million of premium in the quarter.  Approximately 40% of the assumed reinsurance premiums stemmed from one large transaction involving our participation on reinsuring healthcare and pest control risks.  I am also pleased with the immediate contribution of our new healthcare product, which added over $3 million of premium in the quarter.

 

The combined ratio for the quarter increased to 103.7% from 94.4% in the first quarter of 2007.  The increase was driven by a higher expense ratio, which was primarily due to higher acquisition costs associated with assumed reinsurance and specialty programs.  We are shifting our new business focus in assumed reinsurance from quota share to excess of loss, which we expect to lower acquisition costs over time.  The loss ratio in the quarter was adversely impacted by the reserve strengthening in our environmental line.

 

Over the past two years we have made investments in five new products through the acquisition of underwriting teams and one company.  These newer products have allowed us to achieve growth while maintaining underwriting discipline in the midst of a very competitive insurance market.  The new products have also created greater diversity in our product mix as we reduce our concentration in construction and shift to premiums in shorter tail lines of business.  The investments in these newer products are key to our future success as they create a broader platform for growth and increased underwriting profitability when market conditions improve.  In the interim, our focus will be on improving the profitability of our business through a combination of lowering acquisition expenses in assumed reinsurance by writing less quota share business, seeking improved terms in our ceded reinsurance, and reducing operating costs through improved operational efficiency.

 

I will now turn the call over to Joe Scollo to provide you with an update on our insurance operations.  Joe.

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Thank you Steve and good morning.  All comparisons are for the quarter ended June 30, 2008 to the same period in 2007 unless otherwise noted.

 

Gross written premiums for the quarter increased approximately $15 million or 26% to $73 million with growth in our assumed reinsurance segment representing approximately $11 million of this increase.  Premiums from our newer product lines developed in conjunction with our product diversification strategy, which includes the assumed reinsurance segment, contributed 41% of our gross written premiums for the quarter and more than offset 34% decline in our construction line.

 

For the six months ended June 30th, our construction lines premiums represented 16% of our total gross written premiums versus 29% for the same period in 2007.  Market conditions continued to be very competitive during the quarter in nearly all of our product lines.

 

Gross written premiums within our excess and surplus lines segment increased $2.6 million to $36.3 million, a 7% increase.  Premiums from our newer healthcare, property, excess and products liability lines generated a combined increase of approximately $6 million in gross written premiums, with most of this increase coming in our healthcare and property lines.

 

Within our core product lines, our environmental premiums grew by $1.2 million or 10% for the quarter, driven by growth in affinity type environmental products offered through our ProStar Online system.  We continue to reduce our exposure to New York as written premiums in that state declined 48% to $1.6 million for the first six months of 2008.

 

The decline in our construction premiums was due to the continuation of the slowing housing market and our exercise of underwriting discipline in a very competitive insurance market.  Our surety premiums increased $1.1 million due primarily to the specialty surety program we launched in the third quarter of 2007 and increases in our environmental surety premiums.

 

Gross written premiums in our alternative risk transfer segment increased by approximately $900,000 or 6% due to an increase in premiums in our specialty program line.  Premium production from new programs added in 2007 and 2008 more than offset declines in premium volume experienced in our more mature programs due to the impact of the soft market.

 

Premiums in our construction wrap-up program, which insures project specific residential construction projects, declined $5.7 million due to the slowing housing market and delays in the funding of new projects.  One new program, a professional liability program for municipal employees, was added during the quarter.  In addition, we expect that the municipal excess liability program added in the fourth quarter of 2007, will be reporting approximately $12 million of gross written premiums for July.  Premium production under this program is heavily tied to a July 1 effective date.  We take no underwriting risk on this program and instead receive fee income for acting as the policy-issuing carrier for another insurance company.  Reserves established for this program are fully collateralized.  We believe we will achieve overall growth for the year in our alternative risk transfer segment as premium production builds from the new programs added in 2007 and 2008. 

 

We continue to make excellent progress in our assumed reinsurance segment with reinsurance premiums reaching $20.1 million, an increase of over 130% from the same period in 2007.  The team in Bermuda has done a good job of leveraging their existing relationships and building a strong premium base.  We’ll be adding an experienced reinsurance executive to the team in August who brings significant experience in the healthcare sector.  Our focus in this segment is on traditional and structured reinsurance solutions for small specialty insurers, risk retention groups, and captives.

 

A strategy to achieve growth in the soft market by building small books of business through diversification of our product portfolio is continuing to produce results.  Despite double-digit declines in premiums in our construction and specialty program lines for the first six months in 2008, our total premiums during this period increased by 12%.  We continue to focus our efforts on maintaining underwriting discipline and improving our efficiencies to preserve profitability over the long term.

 

I’ll now turn the call over to Bill Tepe for a review of our second quarter financial performance.

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Thank you Joe.  Net earnings for the quarter were $6.8 million or $0.63 per diluted share compared to $7.3 million or $0.69 per diluted share for the same period of 2007.  Total revenues for the quarter were $57 million compared to $48 million in 2007.  Net premiums earned increased $9 million to $48 million due to the growth of new lines of business implemented as part of our diversification plan.

 

Net premiums earned from specialty programs increased $2 million from higher retention and assumed reinsurance earned premiums increased $13 million.  These increases were partially offset by a $6.4 million decrease in earned premiums from our excess and surplus lines due primarily to an $8.5 million decrease in our construction line. 

 

The combined ratio for the quarter was 103.7% composed of a loss ratio of 63.1%, an expense ratio of 40.6%.  This compares to a combined ratio for 2007 quarter of 94.4% with a 59.9% loss ratio and a 34.5% expense ratio.  The 3.2 percentage point increase in the loss ratio is primarily attributable to reserve development in the middle market segment of our environmental product line of $1.5 million due in large part to New York business.  The 6.1 percentage point increase in the expense ratio is primarily the result of two factors, first, acquisition expenses were higher due to the changes in the mix of earned premiums from construction to assumed reinsurance where we pay a higher commission rate, second, the specialty program reinsurance coverage was changed from a quota share treaty where we received ceding commissions to an excess of loss treaty where there is no ceding commission.  As a result of these changes, acquisition expenses as a percentage of earned premiums increased to 24.8% from 19.6%.

 

Payroll related expenses increased $1 million due to normal salary increases and increased head count largely attributable to new lines of business.  Other underwriting expenses increased $700,000 primarily from increased depreciation and professional services expense.

 

Corporate and other expenses were negative $1.9 million due to a $2.8 million reversal of a warranty accrual established in 2004 in connection with our real estate development project, which was essentially completed in 2005.  Without this reversal corporate expenses for the 2008 quarter would be basically flat compared to the 2007 quarter at approximately $900,000.

 

Cash flow provided from operations was $2 million compared to $27 million in the 2007 quarter, due to the funding of the casualty reinsurance treaty and a change in the mix of business with more premiums from assumed reinsurance segment where payment is received in arrears.  Due to the timing of the cash settlement for certain assumed reinsurance transactions, we expect cash flow to improve in the second half of the year.

 

In the second quarter we repurchased 116,650 shares of our common stock for $1.9 million.  We have approximately 100,000 shares remaining under our previously announced share repurchase program and expect to have the program completed during the balance of the year. 

 

Total investments were $597 million at June 30th compared to $617 million at December 31, 2007 due to the change of unrealized gains and losses, lower cash flow and the acquisition for cash of our healthcare segment.

 

At June 30th the portfolio had unrealized losses of $6.7 million compared to unrealized gains at December 31 of $5 million.  Fixed maturities totaled $530 million or 89% of the portfolio with an average rating of AA, a tax equivalent yield of 5.3% and a modified duration of 5.03.  Mortgage backed securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae totaled $156 million.  The portfolio also contains $26 million of common stock, $5 million of preferred stock, and $36 million of short-term investments.

 

The effective tax rate for the quarter was less than 2% as a majority of the income occurred in our Bermuda subsidiaries.  We believe this rate will increase over time due to improved profitability of our US subsidiaries.  Book value per share and diluted book value per share at June 30th were $21.92 and $21.35 compared to $21.53 and $20.81 at December 31, 2007 respectively.  These book value increases were despite the negative impact of $0.94 in the book value per share and $0.91 for diluted book value per share due to the tax affected $11.7 million increase in unrealized losses in the investment portfolio.  Return on average equity was 11.2% compared to 14.1% for the 2007 quarter.

 

We are now ready for any questions you may ask.

 

Operator

Thank you ladies and gentlemen.  At this time, we’ll be conducting a question-and-answer session.  If you would like to ask a question, please press “*1” on your telephone keypad.  A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue.  You may press “*2” if you would like to remove your question from the queue.  For participants using speaker equipment it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the “*” keys.  One moment please while we poll for questions.  Our first question comes from the line of David Lewis with Raymond James.  Please proceed with your question.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Thank you.  Good morning.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning David.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

A couple of questions.  First, Steve maybe talk a little bit about what you see on some of the pricing trends.  Clearly the market’s been soft; you’re starting to see some opportunities in some of these new lines.  I guess my concern is are you getting adequate pricing and what do you think your pricing that new business had on a combined ratio basis?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, as far as our direct products, do you want to address that Joe?

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, I mean the market continues to be soft.  We are seeing rate declines in the US business so it is anywhere between 5% and 15% with the lower end of that range being on our ProStar products and the higher end being obviously in our construction and middle market environmental business.  The market is pretty much status quo in terms of the degree of softness.  I don’t think we saw any significant acceleration in the softening so it’s pretty much status quo with what we saw last quarter and I think Steve would probably want to add something about the reinsurance side.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah.  Well on the reinsurance side a lot of the different programs that we’ve been participating on thus far are risk retention groups, captives and they tend to write smaller businesses and risks for smaller accounts.  So I think those are going to be less impacted by the market and a little less rate sensitive than some larger business.  Weve been, as I mentioned on the call, we’ve been writing mostly quota share treaties.  We are looking at shifting that over time.  We’re bringing in a new chief underwriter starting next month and he’s going to be focusing more on excess of loss treaties and while on one hand it does create the potential for a little more volatility in the earnings it will have a higher margin and will give us a lower acquisition cost.  I think that will bring better balance to the reinsurance book as we look forward.

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

And just to add to that, a lot of the growth is coming from these newer products and the new teams that we’ve brought on and they’re just building their books of business and they’re all small books of business, so certainly from a pricing perspective, we’re cherry picking the risks that we feel hit our underwriting guidelines.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

And you feel like you’re pricing that business below 100% combined in this environment or what’s your thought?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Well when you talk about certainly in the loss ratio, yes, the issue that we’ve had in the quarter, the quarter was impacted somewhat by some reserve development and we have had some higher acquisition costs but over time we think we can get those acquisition expenses down a little bit and so yeah we should be able to get it there.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Okay.  And can you talk a little bit more about the assumed reinsurance charge you took in the quarter related to the subprime exposure?  I think you mentioned that.  Oh the D&O coverage.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Oh, I am sorry.  Yeah well, it was basically…it was one treaty that we entered into about I guess it was January of ‘07 and it was a D&O treaty that had historically been very profitable.  We took a very small piece of an excess layer on that and what we determined after the whole subprime issue that came out we decided that it would be prudent to increase our reserve, so we actually really significantly increased the ultimate loss pick on that.  That treaty was not renewed on January 1st of this year, so it is in runoff and so, whatever adverse impact that we’re having, that will be completely runoff by this year and next year will not be an issue.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Okay.  I assume that’s a claims-made policy so you’ve got an indication of what kind of claims have been made on that policy?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, we do and that’s a great point.  We’re certainly going to wait and see what it looks like at the end of the year and so I think we’ll have a much better picture by the end of this year because it is claims-made.  We have already done one claims audit and we’ll be doing another just to check and make sure we’re comfortable with the case reserves.  We haven’t seen anything that would lead me to believe that there is an issue beyond what we’ve already put up at this stage; it is really more assessing what it looks like at the end of the year to get a clearer picture.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Now, are these claims associated with lawsuits by shareholders or what have you as the subprime issues have kind of flowed through the market and pressured financial company evaluations, is that the primary gist of it?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Well yeah, I need to say that so far we hadn’t seen those losses rolling through.  We’ve had some of those and we anticipated some more activity on that and that’s why we put up the reserve, but we haven’t necessarily seen that materialize yet.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

I guess where I’m going with that, the question out there is, is D&O coverage something that should be hit from a claims standpoint relating to subprime?  Because I guess the way I look at D&O coverage it’s a company specific type issue where the Ds and Os were somewhat fraudulent whereas subprime was basically a bad business decision.  So I don’t know and time will tell what the courts ultimately do, but the question is whether that’s something that ultimately pays out, particularly from the excess side.  If you’re not going to have to pay any of the legal expenses is there an alternate settlement or do you have any thoughts on that?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

No, I don’t have any direct thoughts.  I think time will tell and all I can say is what I’ve already talked to you about, to say that we haven’t seen those losses even materialize.  To the extent that they do materialize we’ll have to see how they play out, but I think by the end of this year we’re going to have a pretty good picture on it.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Okay.  And just two quick ones.  Tax rate outlook, a little lower now than what I was expecting in the quarter.  Any thought on what we should assume in the second half?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Obviously the tax rate was below 2% and I believe the rate is going to increase a little bit in the second half, but it is going to be below the 10% rate that we’ve been saying in the past.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

So something on the upper single digits, probably a good starting point?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Yes, I think so.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

And how quick do you think the expense ratio can start to trend down a little from the second quarter, any thoughts on that?  I know your new underwriter doesn’t come on until next month, so it’s probably more of a 2009 impact, is that the way to look at it?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah.  Well as you know the expense ratio is calculated based on earned premiums, so it’s going to come down as the premiums flow through, so it’s definitely going to be next year.  I really don’t see much happening this year that could move the needle.

 

David Lewis – Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Okay, great.  Thanks very much.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay.

 

Operator

Thank you.  Our next question comes from the line of Ken Billingsley with Signal Hill.  Please proceed with your question.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

Hey good morning.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning Ken.

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Good morning.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

I wanted to ask you about, without the new business that came on in the second quarter, I guess a lot of it assumed, was it gross premiums written have been down about 15% over a six month period year-over-year?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Did you say 15%?

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

Yes.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Just to make sure I understand your question is that excluding assumed reinsurance all together or just taking out the growth that we saw in the assumed?

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

The growth and maybe it is using new business, not all of it being assumed.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

I don’t think it would have been down that much.

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

There is a slight uptick in growth I think.  Ken, if you did that I haven’t done the calculations so we would have to actually do that, but it would be flat to slightly higher from what I could see.

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yes just at a quick glance that seems to…I don’t think it would have been negative.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

You don’t think it would have been negative?

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

No, just to give you a…our US premiums were for the six months I believe down 3% over last year.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

Okay, and when you do the shift from quota share to excess of loss, are you targeting new customers or rewriting the policy?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I think it would be a combination of both.  We have some treaties now that we’re participating in on a quota share basis and we’re looking at the renewals to see if it makes more sense to restructure those on an excess of loss basis.  So I think it’ll be a combination.  Clearly, I would say that the majority of that will be new business as we’re brining in a new underwriter, he has his own contacts, his own markets and that’s predominantly what he has focused on in the past and what he will continue to focus on.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

Okay.  And this growth for the quarter then, was this one time in nature for the size or you are expecting to see…should we see that over the next few quarters as well?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

I think that it’s somewhat anomalous.  There was an $8 million transaction that I mentioned briefly in my opening remarks that it was actually three programs controlled by one program manager that were pest control and healthcare related, that is about $8 million.  So, I don’t see that type of transaction recurring.  So I think you’ll see going forward definitely expect some growth, but I think that will level off.  Next year on the assumed reinsurance I think you’re going to see, as we make that transition, we’ll be taking some of our quota share treaties and if we can’t restructure those we may actually let some of those go and replace them with excess of loss to get us a little bit better balance.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

In those quota shares, some of the new ones you take, have you ever taken a higher percentage then who is ceding it?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

No, we will be taking lower percentages in all those cases.  So that business, even though the margin is not quite as high as the excess of loss, the other side of it is there is less volatility in the result, so there are tradeoffs either way.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

And the last question is, I missed this as you made your comments you obviously were buying back shares, how much is remaining in the buy\ back?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

About 100,000 shares.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

100,000 shares.  And do you see any change in future use of capital?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Well we expect to complete the share repurchase by the end of the year, but right now that’s our only plan.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

And the remainder is just to support growth opportunities?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Yes.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes.  That’s right.

 

Kenneth Billingsley – Signal Hill Capital Group, LLC

Very good.  Thank you.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

 

Operator

Thank you.  Our next question comes from the line of John Gwynn with Morgan Keegan.  Please proceed with your question.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Thanks.  Steve, the transition from quota share to excess, are we talking about your primary healthcare business principally there?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

No, we’re talking about the…in the assumed reinsurance line.  The primary healthcare business is a direct business that came about from an acquisition earlier this year; that’s a completely different segment.  The assumed reinsurance is all over the map in terms of different types of risks and I’m talking about the assumed reinsurance piece.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Okay, and that assumed reinsurance is primarily liability or casualty business?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, primarily it’s liability and casualty business, mostly liability; a lot of general liability specifically in there.  And again, it’s targeted risk retention groups, captives, small specialty insurance companies, that’s the market.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Okay and is that brokered business?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, it is brokered; we deal, all that is through reinsurance intermediaries, Benfield, Aon, recognized names.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Right, and the reserve strengthening, was this a recurrence of that stuff from a couple of years ago?

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

No that was in our construction line actually.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Okay, thanks Joe, so this is a new deal.

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

It’s environmental business that we wrote in New York, kind of similar type of loss though, the action over labor loss stuff.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Is this a source of litigation probably?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Well those cases are litigated, but that’s not a new thing, we’ve had that forever.  I think the issue is just that we had a book of New York business that’s developed more adversely than we expected and that’s when we had some development there, but I think it’s important to recognize that we significantly reduced our exposure that we started two years ago.  In the environmental books, specifically shifting out of New York and in Joe’s opening remarks he talked about, I think what, we have $1.6 million?

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yes, which is 48% lower than last year.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

So for all intents and purposes we’re out of New York not only in construction, which is what you originally talked about, but also in environmental.  So, we’ve had a bad experience in both and I think going forward we don’t expect to have those recurring issues.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Okay.  And Steve did the HCC block trade during the quarter?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, it did.  They sold 100% of their position in the company and my understanding is that just based on the filings that that was now taken over by Argo Group.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

By who?  I am sorry.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Argo Group out of Bermuda.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

How do you spell that?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

A-r-g-o.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Oh okay.  Argo then.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay.

 

John Gwynn – Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc.

Okay.  All right.  Thanks a lot.  That’s all I have.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay.  Thanks.

 

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder if you would like to ask a question you may do so by pressing “*1” on your telephone keypad.  Our next question comes from the line of Steve Bick with Cottingham Management.  Please proceed with your question.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Yeah, good morning.  I am Steve.  I have a couple of questions regarding the total investments, $597 and did you say it was $5 million perhaps and $36 million in short-term investments?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Yes, the investments were $530 million and we had (inaudible) stocks that totaled about $156 million, so fixed maturities were about $530 million; mortgage backs were $156; we had $26 million in common stock, $5 in preferred stock and $36 million in short-term.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Okay.  Very good, so it seems like there is a de-leveraging in the Fannie and Freddie area?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

We have reduced our investment slightly.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Right and then as far as the roll down in the credit ratings has there been a shift downwards still or is that consolidated around the AA area?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

It’s still consolidated around the AA area.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Okay, because at one point there was a movement downwards and that’s actually stopped now, has that abated?

 

William C. Tepe – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Chief Financial Officer

Yes, it has slowed down.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Okay.  That’s excellent.  And then my next question I didn’t quite catch what you said about the excess in the $12 million in June or July at least?

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Right, we have a program that ensures excess municipal liability for self-insured pools that we added in the fourth quarter of last year.  Those policies that are written under that program are heavily tied to a July 1 date and we have been informed by the program manager that they will be reporting about a $12 million writing for the month of July.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Okay, very good and is that going to be going forward?  I mean that’ll be everything happening in July from here onwards or…

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, there are some October dates as well, but I would say 90% to 95% of the premium for the year will be transacted in July and just to clarify, we don’t take risk, underwriting risk on that program, we front it for another insurance company and we receive the income and they collateralize the reserves that we establish back in the form of a trust.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

Okay and so will that frustrate your net premiums earned or what will be the pretension there?

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

There will be no impact on net earned premiums because we cede 100% of the premium back to the insurance company that we front for and then they just pay us a fee for doing that.

 

Steve Bick – Cottingham Management Company, LLC - CEO

I see, okay.  Okay, very good.  Those are my questions.  Thanks very much.

 

Joseph D. Scollo, Jr. – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Thank you.

 

Operator

Thank you.  Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time.  I’d like to turn the floor back to management for closing comments.

 

Stephen R. Crim – American Safety Insurance Holdings, Ltd. – President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay, I just got a couple of corporate matters.  We will be filing the 10-Q on a timely basis by the August 11 deadline and our next conference call is scheduled for Monday, October 27 at 9:00 A.M. Eastern.  Thank you very much.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



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